Duiyi (Claire) Dai

Duiyi (Claire) Dai

PhD in Economics

Equity Research · Economics & Data Science

I am an empirical economist and data scientist in Equity Research at UBS, using alternative data and empirical methods to study company and sector performance across European equities.

My research combines economics with NLP, large language models and computer vision. My work is published in European Economic Review and Patterns.

Publications

Peer-reviewed research

Policy engagement

Scottish Government

2024–2025

Economic advisory work developing text-based measures of business sentiment and uncertainty. Research published by the Scottish Government includes the Scottish Business Sentiment Index.

Working papers

Measuring Brexit Uncertainty: A Machine Learning and Textual Analysis Approach

With Wanyu Chung and Robert Elliott

A text-based measure of Brexit uncertainty constructed using machine learning.

The Macroeconomic Effects of Brexit Uncertainty

With Christoph Görtz

A proxy-SVAR with a novel high-frequency instrument to identify Brexit uncertainty shocks.

Software & research infrastructure

RobustiPy

An open-source Python library for multiverse and specification-curve analysis, with bootstrap inference, model selection and averaging, and SHAP-based explainability. Accompanies the Patterns article above.

UK Parliamentary Debates
& Speaker Biographies

A research-grade PostgreSQL database linking historical Commons and Lords debates to speaker biographies, with full-text search and reproducible exports.

Education & research background

At Oxford, I worked with Charles Rahal on large-scale computational social science. I received my PhD in Economics from the University of Birmingham in 2025, supervised by Robert Elliott and Wanyu Chung.

My research develops measurement systems from large-scale text, image and alternative datasets. I am particularly interested in economic uncertainty, AI and technological change, media economics, political economy, macroeconomics and reproducible computational research.

University of Birmingham

PhD in Economics

2020–2025

University of Warwick

MSc in Behavioural and Data Science

2018–2019

MSc in Economics and International Financial Economics

2017–2018

South China University of Technology

BSc in Economics

2013–2017

Teaching

Guest Lecturer

2026

Aston University

Invited Instructor

2024

Textual Analysis and Machine Learning with Python

AIB UKI Conference · PhD-level teaching

Teaching slides

Teaching Assistant

2021–2024

University of Birmingham

  • Global Economy (Undergraduate)
  • International Trade Theory & Policy (Undergraduate)
  • Econometrics with Stata (Undergraduate)

Work in progress

From Floods to Votes: The Impact of Natural Disasters on Electoral Outcomes through Social-Media Sentiment Analysis

With Wanyu Chung and Robert Elliott

The Visual Narrative of Climate Change: Assessing Its Effect on Capital Market Movements

Contact

For research enquiries and professional correspondence:
duiyidai@gmail.com