Measuring Brexit Uncertainty: A Machine Learning and Textual Analysis Approach
A text-based measure of Brexit uncertainty constructed using machine learning.
PhD in Economics
Equity Research · Economics & Data Science
I am an empirical economist and data scientist in Equity Research at UBS, using alternative data and empirical methods to study company and sector performance across European equities.
My research combines economics with NLP, large language models and computer vision. My work is published in European Economic Review and Patterns.
Based on a chapter of my PhD thesis.
Computer vision and machine learning applied to 64,089 newspaper images to measure partisan visual bias.
An open-source Python library for systematic robustness analysis, combining specification search, bootstrap inference, model averaging and explainable AI.
Economic advisory work developing text-based measures of business sentiment and uncertainty. Research published by the Scottish Government includes the Scottish Business Sentiment Index.
A text-based measure of Brexit uncertainty constructed using machine learning.
A proxy-SVAR with a novel high-frequency instrument to identify Brexit uncertainty shocks.
An open-source Python library for multiverse and specification-curve analysis, with bootstrap inference, model selection and averaging, and SHAP-based explainability. Accompanies the Patterns article above.
A research-grade PostgreSQL database linking historical Commons and Lords debates to speaker biographies, with full-text search and reproducible exports.
At Oxford, I worked with Charles Rahal on large-scale computational social science. I received my PhD in Economics from the University of Birmingham in 2025, supervised by Robert Elliott and Wanyu Chung.
My research develops measurement systems from large-scale text, image and alternative datasets. I am particularly interested in economic uncertainty, AI and technological change, media economics, political economy, macroeconomics and reproducible computational research.
PhD in Economics
2020–2025MSc in Behavioural and Data Science
2018–2019MSc in Economics and International Financial Economics
2017–2018BSc in Economics
2013–20172026
2024
AIB UKI Conference · PhD-level teaching
Teaching slides2021–2024
For research enquiries and professional correspondence:
duiyidai@gmail.com